2024-12-22 Cumulative Delta / Two Methods

When using Cumulative Delta from Rithmic in MultiCharts.net, choosing between "Ask Traded vs Bid Traded" and "Up Tick vs Down Tick" depends on the type of analysis you're looking to perform and the level of market detail you need. Here's a breakdown of both options to help you decide:

1. Ask Traded vs Bid Traded:

  • What It Represents:

    • This method shows the cumulative difference between the volume of contracts traded at the ask price (buyers willing to pay) versus those traded at the bid price (sellers willing to accept).
    • Ask Traded indicates buying pressure (market participants who are willing to buy at the asking price).
    • Bid Traded indicates selling pressure (market participants who are willing to sell at the bid price).
  • When to Use:

    • Best for analyzing market depth and order flow since it reflects real-time activity based on the bid/ask spread.
    • This method allows for a more accurate view of whether aggressive buyers or sellers are in control, making it more suitable for short-term trading and precise order flow analysis (such as scalping or intraday trading).
    • Ideal for gauging market sentiment and immediate directional moves based on who is dominating the price action (buyers vs. sellers).

2. Up Tick vs Down Tick:

  • What It Represents:

    • This method uses ticks to track price movements. An up tick occurs when the market moves to a higher price level than the previous trade, and a down tick happens when the market moves to a lower price level.
    • The focus is on the price direction, rather than depth or aggression. It captures momentum in the market without necessarily considering the volume traded at each price point.
  • When to Use:

    • Best suited for more trend-following strategies or when you are trying to gauge overall market direction based on past price movements.
    • If you are interested in general market momentum or are analyzing larger timeframes (like intraday or swing trading), this can be useful for visualizing trends.
    • However, it can sometimes be less precise because it does not focus on the volume traded at the bid or ask prices but on the direction of price.

Conclusion:

  • Ask Traded vs Bid Traded is likely to be a better choice for precise and real-time market analysis, especially if you're interested in order flow, market sentiment, and immediate price movements. It gives you insight into buyer vs seller strength and how orders are flowing at different price levels, providing more actionable information for short-term strategies.

  • Up Tick vs Down Tick could be useful if you're looking to gauge overall market direction or trend strength in a more general way, particularly if you're focused on the broader momentum of the market over larger timeframes.

In summary, if your goal is detailed and actionable information regarding order flow and the balance of supply and demand, Ask Traded vs Bid Traded should provide you with superior insight for your strategy.

2024-12-21 Compare data feeds: RITHMIC versus CQG

When choosing between CQG and Rithmic for automated futures trading, particularly for strategies based on cumulative delta, the decision comes down to the following key considerations:


1. Data Quality and Granularity

  • Rithmic:

    • Highly regarded for its low-latency and tick-by-tick data.
    • Provides very accurate and detailed order book data, which is ideal for strategies that analyze cumulative delta.
    • Rithmic's infrastructure is known for high reliability and precise time stamps, which are critical for ensuring the accuracy of order flow calculations.
  • CQG:

    • CQG also provides high-quality market data but may not always match Rithmic's granularity for tick-by-tick feeds.
    • CQG's data compression techniques might slightly affect cumulative delta calculations, particularly for very short-term or high-frequency strategies.

Winner for Data Quality: Rithmic


2. Latency and Connectivity

  • Rithmic:

    • Well-known for low latency and direct connections to many exchanges.
    • Often preferred by high-frequency traders or those who need near-instantaneous market updates.
  • CQG:

    • Provides stable and fast data but isn't typically as low-latency as Rithmic.
    • Might be sufficient for most strategies, but for latency-sensitive applications, Rithmic has the edge.

Winner for Latency: Rithmic


3. Platform Compatibility

  • Rithmic:

    • Supported by a wide range of platforms commonly used for automated trading (NinjaTrader, Sierra Chart, etc.).
    • Provides APIs (like R|Trader Pro) for custom development.
  • CQG:

    • Also widely supported across many platforms and offers its CQG API for custom trading software.
    • Slightly more intuitive user interfaces for general traders, but less focused on advanced order flow analysis.

Tie: Both are compatible with most professional trading platforms.


4. Cost

  • Rithmic:

    • Costs for using Rithmic may be slightly higher, depending on your broker and trading platform fees.
  • CQG:

    • Pricing tends to be more competitive, making it attractive for traders with cost constraints.

Winner for Cost: CQG


5. Suitability for Cumulative Delta Strategies

  • Rithmic:

    • The most accurate for cumulative delta analysis due to its superior tick-by-tick data and precise handling of volume at each price level.
    • Offers detailed bid/ask-level information, which is essential for cumulative delta computations.
  • CQG:

    • Reliable but might introduce minor inaccuracies in cumulative delta strategies when compared with Rithmic, particularly during high market volatility.

Winner for Cumulative Delta: Rithmic


Final Recommendation:

For cumulative delta-based strategies, Rithmic is typically the better choice due to its:

  1. Superior tick-by-tick data.
  2. Lower latency.
  3. Higher reliability for volume profile and order flow calculations.

If cost is a significant factor or your strategy is less dependent on ultra-precise order flow data, CQG can be a solid alternative. However, if your strategy relies heavily on cumulative delta accuracy, go with Rithmic.

2024-12-03 Corn runs into backwardation

Watch out for CORN. Market runs into backwardation.

We expect higher prices!

2024-11-09 Bitcoin Volume Spikes

Volume spikes can signal potential trend reversals or the beginning of new trends, as large shifts in trading interest may mark shifts in market sentiment.

As we see clearly in the Bitcoin market. Here we can see the weekly chart:

2024-10-03 risk adjustment / ATR / position sizing / different futures markets

To trade the Soybean Futures Market and Crude Oil Futures with the same risk, considering the Average True Range (ATR) for setting stop losses and profit targets, you can use a method that balances the different volatility and contract sizes of the two markets. Here’s how to approach it:

Steps to Calculate:

  1. Determine the ATR:

    • The ATR gives you a measure of volatility. You can calculate the ATR for both Soybeans and Crude Oil over a chosen period (e.g., 14 days) or retrieve it from your charting software.
  2. Determine the contract size for Soybeans and Crude Oil:

    • Soybean Futures are traded on the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) and represent 5,000 bushels per contract.
    • Crude Oil Futures (WTI) are traded on the NYMEX and represent 1,000 barrels per contract.
  3. Stop-Loss and Profit Target based on ATR:

    • Set your stop-loss and profit target in units of the ATR. A common approach is, for example, 1x ATR as a stop-loss and 2x ATR as a profit target (2:1 ratio).
  4. Risk Adjustment:

    • You want to keep the risk in both markets equal, meaning that you use the same $ risk per trade for both markets by adjusting the position size according to the ATR.
  5. Calculate the Position Size:

    • To determine the position size, use the formula:
      • {Position Size} = {Risk in $} / {ATR in $}
    • The ATR value needs to be converted into $ per contract as follows:
      • {ATR in $} = {ATR in points} * {value per point}
    • For Soybeans, the value per point is $50 (since one point = 0.01 and 5,000 bushels per contract).
    • For Crude Oil, the value per point is $1,000 (since one point = 1 and 1,000 barrels per contract).

Example:

  • ATR for Soybeans: 0.25 points
    • ATR (in $) = 0.25 points × $50 = $12.50 per contract
  • ATR for Crude Oil: 1.50 points
    • ATR (in $) = 1.50 points × $1,000 = $1,500 per contract

Risk per Trade (in $):

Let’s say you want to risk $500 per trade. The position sizes would be:

  • Position size for Soybeans:
    500 / 12.50 = 40 contracts
    Position size for Crude Oil:
    500 / 1500 = 0.33 contracts
  • Since you can’t trade fractional contracts, you’d either have to adjust your risk or reduce the position size for Soybeans.

Summary:

  • Calculate the ATR for each market.
  • Determine the ATR in $ per contract.
  • Set your risk per trade and calculate the corresponding position size, so you trade both markets with the same risk.

 

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